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Archived Posts

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Measuring VIX Contractions and Expansions - Charting the Fear and Greed Index

by Arthur Hill

.... Applying Standard Deviation and BandWidth to the VIX .... Trade XIV Instead of SPY .... Combining Technicals and Fundamentals .... Monthly MACD for Long-term Trend .... Charting the Fear & Greed Index .... Machines Dominate the Bond Market ....  I will post the Weekly Market Review & Outlook on Friday with a video. Instead of the System Trader article, today I would like to...  Read More

Commodities Countdown Video Recording 2017-04-11

by Greg Schnell

Here is this weeks video. Commodities Countdown With Greg Schnell 2017-04-13 from on Vimeo. Regards, Greg Schnell, CMT, MFTA    Read More

10 Year Treasury Yield Closes At Lowest Level Since November

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Wednesday, April 13, 2017 It was another day of not-so-great action in the U.S. stock market on Wednesday as our major indices finished lower as this lengthy period of frustrating consolidation continues.  A problem is definitely brewing, though, as the Volatility Index ($VIX) pushes higher and higher.  The stock market tends to struggle with any bad...  Read More

New Long-Term Trend Model BUY Signal for Gold

by Erin Heim

A new Long-Term Trend Model signal triggered on Gold today. This occurs when the 50-EMA crosses above the 200-EMA. When this happens, DecisionPoint theory is that any stock, ETF, index, etc. with a 50-EMA above the 200-EMA is in a technical bull market...  Read More

Wednesday 4/12 MarketWatchers LIVE Recap

by Erin Heim

Welcome to thet recap of Wednesday's MarketWatchers LIVE show. Information abounds in our Monday/Wednesday/Friday 12:00p - 1:30p shows, but we will try to incorporate a few charts that you found the most interesting during the show (or that we found most interesting!). Our hope is that you find this a welcome antidote to CNBC chatter during the market day. Your comments and suggestions are...  Read More

Utilities Surge as 10-yr T-Yield Drops below 2.3%

by Arthur Hill

The Utilities SPDR (XLU) surged as the S&P 500 fell below its 50-day SMA on Wednesday. Overall, notice that the 50-day EMA crossed the 200-day EMA in mid December and the ETF hit a 52-week high in late March. XLU is the strongest of the nine sectors since November 30th (+12.84%) and it is even up more than XLK (+11.61%). On the price chart, it looks like XLU is breaking out of a pennant...  Read More

Gold Stocks Surge! Want A List Of Strong Ones?

by Greg Schnell

Gold stocks bubbled Tuesday and there were some great trend lines broken. So let's work through a collection of the Gold stocks. Here is the XGD.TO Miners ETF in Canada. The SCTR is going ballastic and is still a little below my trigger line of 75. However, this is for the gold stocks average. On the price panel, the trend line finally broke Tuesday and the MACD...  Read More

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by John Murphy

DOW AND S&P 500 MAY BE SLIPPING BELOW 50-DAY LINES... The short-term trend for the market continues to weaken. Chart 1 shows the Dow Jones Industrial SPDR (DIA) trading below its 50-day average in early afternoon trading. The DIA hasn't closed below that support line since the November election. The same is true of the S&P 500. Chart 2 shows the S&P...  Read More

Fear Is Rising As Gold Breaks Out

by Tom Bowley

Market Recap for Tuesday, April 11, 2017 The Volatility Index ($VIX) hit its lowest level since mid-November on Tuesday, nearly reaching 16 before backing off and closing at 15.07 and up 7.26% on the session.  That development is significant because the S&P 500 has remained above its recent price support, yet more and more fear is being priced into the market.  Read More

Dow 30: Less Vol Now, More Vol Later? -- Trend Checking Bonds and Dollar -- Market's Path of Least Resistance

by Tushar Chande

We explore the implications of the very narrow trading range in the Dow.  Then we trend check bonds and gold.  The NLY chart caught our eye. I also annotate the market's path of least resistance.   Dow 30 Industrials: Less Vol Now, More Vol Later? The Dow 30 is showing a 5-o'clock shadow.  They have traded in such a narrow range, that the shadows of the...  Read More

DP Alert: Volume Indicators Mixed - SPY Finds Support...For Now - ITTM Neutral Signal on RYF

by Erin Heim

No changes on the DecisionPoint Scoreboards. You'll find these boards in the DP Chart Gallery. However, we did get a new Intermediate-Term Trend Model (ITTM) Neutral signal on the...  Read More

Monday's Show Recap 4/10

by Erin Heim

Welcome to our recap of Monday's MarketWatchers LIVE show. Information abounds in our Monday/Wednesday/Friday 12:00p - 1:30p shows, but we will try to incorporate a few charts that you found the most interesting during the show (or that we found most interesting!). This is still a work in progress so this blog will take shape as we go along. Your comments and suggestions are welcome. Our  Read More

What A Difference A Day Makes To Gold Stocks

by Greg Schnell

Yesterday, I wrote about how Gold was just drizzling along. This morning, Gold jumped on the open and continues to soar. Currently at the time of writing, Gold is at 1275 and running. The GLD chart shows the move intraday. Looking inside the zoom box panel on the...  Read More