01/23/2012

Is the Ultimate reversal trade finally here?

By Greg Schnell

OK which one am I talking about?

 THe Nat gas trade or the long bond trade?

Well, it's the long bond trade.

$TYX 20120123

Here is a picture of the daily zoomed in on the latest time period.
$TYX daily 20120123
So this is clearly a breakout.
Again, how can we trade it? Well, we have some choices but most of them are leveraged choices.
Most importantly, we want our stop set for sure. The overall market seems to be screaming overbought. If things turn quickly, this will too. So the stop is either right at your buy point, or just under. If this is going to take a whole bunch of us in, only to reverse, the stop will be very important.
So HTD.TO is the cdn way.
HTD
TBT is the US way.
TBT
Today, it is breaking out. It is also the most common place for  a reversal. This trade without a stop is ill-advised.
Good Trading,
Greg Schnell, CMT







 

Comments

The comments to this entry are closed.