October 2009 Archived Entries

October 16, 2009

Best Buy Hits a Ceiling

By Arthur Hill

Point&Figure charts are great for showing support and resistance. Best Buy (BBY) hit a ceiling at 42 over the last five months. A breakout above resistance (another “X”) would trigger a bullish signal and target further strength towards the next resistance level at 48.

091016bby7
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October 15, 2009

Inter-market Leaders for 2009

By Arthur Hill

With the Dow hitting 10,000 on Wednesday, it is a good time to check the intermarket PerfChart for 2009. West Texas Intermediate ($WTIC) is by far the biggest winner this year with a gain around 55%. Gold-Continuous Futures ($GOLD) is up around 24% and the Dow is up 11.87%. Bonds and the Dollar are in negative territory for the year.

091015perf

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October 14, 2009

Net Highs Outpacing New Lows

By Arthur Hill

The top of the predefined scan page says it all. New 52-week highs are outpacing new 52-week lows, by a wide margin. In fact, new 52-week lows are in the single digits for all four exchanges shown on the table. No sign of weakness here.

091014nnh
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October 13, 2009

Retail HOLDRS Forge New High

By Arthur Hill

The Retail HOLDRS (RTH) continues its up trend with another 52-week high on Tuesday. The chart below shows prices over the last 12 months and Tuesday's close in the highest. In the indicator window, notice that RTH is keeping pace with the S&P 500 (red line).

0910123rth

Click this chart to see details.

October 12, 2009

Bonds Drop Sharply

By Arthur Hill

The intermarket chart below shows bonds (blue line) taking a hit last week. The 30-year Treasury Bond ($USB) fell back toward support from its September lows. Weakness in bonds is understandable with West Texas Intermediate ($WTIC) challenging its summer highs. Click here for John Murphy’s Intermarket Perfchart.

0910123perf
Click this chart for details.

October 09, 2009

Materials and Energy Score Big

By Arthur Hill

The Energy SPDR (XLE) and the Materials SPDR (XLB) started October with a bang. Over the last five days, XLE is up over 8% and XLB is up over 6%. The Financials SPDR (XLF) comes in a close second with a 5.74% gain. All three easily outperformed the S&P 500.

Click this chart for details.
091010perf


October 08, 2009

SPY Gaps Higher

By Arthur Hill

SPY is at it again with its second gap this week. The ETF gapped higher on Tuesday and held the gap zone. After a triangle consolidation, SPY gapped above 106 this morning to create another gap zone that marks first support.

091008spy

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October 07, 2009

XLE Zigzags Higher

By Arthur Hill

The chart below shows the Energy SPDR (XLE) with a 5% Zigzag. This indicator filters out smaller fluctuations by only identifying moves of at least 5%. XLE is currently zigzagging up with higher highs and higher lows. A break below the October low would reverse this uptrend.

091006xle
Click this image for more details.

October 06, 2009

Yield Curve Remains Positive

By Arthur Hill

With short-term rates near zero and long-term rates around 4%, the yield curve is clearly positive. This sharply positive slope reflects loose monetary policy at the Fed that is designed to stimulate the economy. For reference, the yield curve was flat in October 2007 as short-term rates were near 4%.

091006curve Click this chart for details.

October 05, 2009

Financials Light up Market Carpet

By Arthur Hill

The Financial sector lit up the Market Carpet on Monday with the most green. Three of the top five gainers came from the Financial sector. The consumer discretionary sector was second with two of the top five gainers on Monday.

091005carp Click this chart for more details.

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