April 01, 2013 at 6:50 AM | written by Arthur Hill
The Telecom iShares (IYZ) is finding support from the rising 200-day moving average and hitting resistance at the 50-day moving average. A move above the March highs would break the 50-day and keep the longer term uptrend alive. Notice that MACD is improving as it inches into positive territory.
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December 27, 2012 at 11:29 AM | written by Arthur Hill
The Dow has fallen over 300 points in the last six trading days and is now testing the 200-day moving average. The senior Average broke above this key average in early December and needs to hold the breakout. A break back below 13000 would be quite negative. MACD is already signaling a turn in momentum as the oscillator moved below its signal line today.
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November 19, 2012 at 3:01 PM | written by Arthur Hill
Stocks found a bid on Monday as the Consumer Staples SPDR (XLP) continued its bounce off the rising 200-day moving average. Notice that XLP hit this moving average on Wednesday, firmed on Thursday and bounced on Friday. Today’s follow through confirms support in the 34 area.
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November 13, 2012 at 4:35 PM | written by Arthur Hill
The Nasdaq broke below the 200-day moving average with a gap down last week, and remains below this key level. This moving average and the small consolidation now turn into first resistance. Notice that RSI is almost at oversold levels (below 30).
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October 24, 2012 at 12:03 PM | written by Arthur Hill
With a sharp decline the last five weeks, the Nasdaq is poised to test its rising 200-day moving average. The red line is the 200-day and this key average was last tested in early June. Note that the index is underperforming the S&P 500 as the price relative moved below its early August low.
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October 09, 2012 at 12:03 PM | written by Arthur Hill
The Russell 2000 ($RUT) is leading the market lower and closing in on its rising 50-day simple moving average. Broken resistance from the May-August highs also marks potential support in the 820-830 area. Small-caps ($RUT) are leading the market lower since mid September.
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October 03, 2012 at 8:32 AM | written by Arthur Hill
After hitting a new high above 700 in mid September, Apple (AAPL) gapped down and declined to around 660. Three items mark support in this area. The early September low, the 38.2% retracement and the rising 50-day moving average. With a doji signaling indecision and the Stochastic Oscillator turning oversold, Apple could be ripe for a bounce.
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September 13, 2012 at 11:33 AM | written by Arthur Hill
After a big surge above 33, the Market Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) peaked in mid August and declined back to support in the 32.50 area. Support here stems form broken resistance, the rising 200-day SMA and the rising 50-day SMA. A successful test and break above 33 would be bullish. Failure to bounce and a break below 32 would be bearish.
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August 23, 2012 at 11:14 AM | written by Arthur Hill
The CRB Index ($CRB) is breaking above its 200-day moving average after two failed attempts. Since first breaking below the 200-day in August 2011, this level marked resistance in early September and late February. With this week’s move above 305, the index broke the 200-day and exceeded the April 2011 trend line.
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August 17, 2012 at 8:18 AM | written by Arthur Hill
The TSX Composite ($TSX) is a little late to the party, but the index found some gas this week and surged above its 200-day moving average for the first time since early May. The index also broke the March trend line and exceeded its early July high.
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