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Lifted by exporters, the Nikkei 225 ($NIKK) is one of the best performing markets over the last eight weeks. The chart below shows the index surging from ±8400 to ±9900 since mid January (+17.8%). With lots of exporters, the sharp drop in the Yen ETF (FXY) no doubt helped this index.
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The rally in the Euro Currency Trust (FXE) has been rather sharp, but the ETF has still only recovered half the prior loss. Notice how FXE declined from 142 to 126 (16 points) and then advanced to 134 (8 points). Like the October surge, this advance could be just a corrective rally in a bigger downtrend.
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The stock market rallied in January, but Nordstrom (JWN) traded flat and shows relative weakness. Even though the stock has yet to break down, volatility is narrowing as the Bollinger Bands contract. Notice that Bollinger Band width is at its lowest in over six months. Watch the range for the next direction clue.
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Stocks moved sharply higher for the second time in two days, but remain mixed, at best, over the last five days. The chart below comes from the Sector Carpet. The red squares show losers, while the green squares show gainers. Notice the numbers at the top of each sector box. The utilities sectors is the only gainer the last five days (+.30). The rest are in negative territory.
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Renko charts filter out the noise by requiring minimum price moves before the plot changes. This Renko chart shows the Dow Industrials SPDR (DIA) based on closing prices with 50 cents as the minimum move. A clear decline has taken shape in May with resistance at 125.
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The PerfChart shows the year-to-date performance for six European stock indices. Surprisingly, the Italian Milan Index ($MIB) is the best performing. Germany is a close second though. It is also surprising to see the Netherlands Index ($AEX) down for the year and showing relative weakness.
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