DecisionPoint

S&P 100 Joins the Gang with a New PMO BUY Signal

The DecisionPoint Scoreboards have been flipping out! I mean the signals are flipping quickly on all of the Boards! I wrote about the five signal changes we got yesterday in the DP Alert article here. The short term picture is very bullish with all four major indexes showing "green". The long-term picture is also very favorable. Momentum in the intermediate term is still declining (you can view the IT PMO on the weekly charts in the DP LIVE shared ChartList here).

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DP Alert: New Signals on DP Scoreboards - Market Follows-Through on Rally

We already saw some shake up on the DP Scoreboards on Friday with the new intermediate-term PMO SELL signals on all but the NDX. With the recent rally, we are now seeing the Scoreboards flip back to bullish in the short term. The S&P 100 is a hair away from producing its PMO BUY signal. I've included the charts below the Scoreboards. You'll note the breakouts on all of the charts. Price is about ready to test all-time highs on all of these indexes.

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DecisionPoint Weekly Wrap 4/21/2017 -- Correction Over?

Last week I wrote, "The first necessary signal that the correction is over would be for the daily PMO (Price Momentum Oscillator) to turn up."  That happened on Thursday, but there was no follow through on Friday due to, I believe, it being options expiration day, which tends to dampen volatility and keep prices steady. The slight decline caused the PMO to turn down again, but the direction is basically sideways. Let's see if a deeper analysis will clarify the situation for us.

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DP Alert: New ST Trend Model BUY for NDX - Gold Pulls Back

Today the Nasdaq 100 triggered a new Short-Term Trend Model (STTM) BUY signal. This replaces a Neutral signal from exactly one week ago. In the thumbnail of the chart below the DecisionPoint Scoreboards, you can that the Neutral signal was the victim of whipsaw. I've been bearish on the market of late, but looking at NDX price movement, I like the last bottom forming above the previous and a breakout attempt being made to new all-time highs. Note also that the Price Momentum Oscillator (PMO) has now turned up.

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DP Alert: Indicators Turn South - UUP New PMO SELL Signal

A look at the DecisionPoint Scoreboards reminds us that the short term is weak. Don't be fooled by the IT PMO BUY signals on the boards right now, I happen to know we have negative crossovers showing up on the weekly charts for three of these indexes. It's not surprising that our indicators are in line with the current scores.

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DecisionPoint Weekly Wrap 4/13/2017 -- Market Overvalued

S&P 500 earnings results for 2016 Q4 are in, and the market is still grossly overvalued. The chart below shows the S&P 500 Index (black line) in relation to where it would be if it were undervalued (green line), fair value (blue line), or overvalued (red line). The current price is far above overvalue side of the range, because the S&P 500 has a P/E of 25. Earnings are expected to grow by +26% by the end of 2017 Q4, which would drop the P/E to 20, but only if price goes no higher. If the bull market advance continues, overvaluation will continue to be a problem.

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New Long-Term Trend Model BUY Signal for Gold

A new Long-Term Trend Model signal triggered on Gold today. This occurs when the 50-EMA crosses above the 200-EMA. When this happens, DecisionPoint theory is that any stock, ETF, index, etc. with a 50-EMA above the 200-EMA is in a technical bull market. What does this mean? If you are in a "bull market" environment, you should expect bullish outcomes over bearish outcomes.

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